“Understanding Probability and Randomness”
Date: Wednesday, December 7, 2016
Time: 13:40 – 14:30
Location: FENS L035
Abstract: Almost all IE students have taken/will take many probability and statistics courses, and accordingly, by the time their course work is completed, they will be very much fluent in probability/statistics models, formulas, assumptions, data needs and general coverage.
On the other hand, probabilistic and randomness considerations in real life remain very much challenging because of, i) insufficient technical background of many decision makers and experts regarding probability and statistics, ii) behavioral and very much personal aspects of understanding (perceiving) probability/randomness, iii) tendency to seek causality in random environments, iv) technical, behavioral and organizational difficulties in conveying ones models / results / conclusions, regarding probabilistic and randomness considerations, to others; v) having to live by decisions made by others based on faulty perceptions related to probability and randomness.
This seminar will address these challenges through various examples from real life.
Bio: İlhan Or obtained his B.S., M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the Industrial Engineering Department at Northwestern University (Evanston, U.S.A.). He has been a faculty member at Boğaziçi University Industrial Engineering Department since 1976; he has also held various administrative positions at Boğaziçi University, including the Directorship of the Graduate School of Science and Engineering (2006 - ), Senatorship at the University’s Senate (2006 - ), membership at the University Steering Committee (2012 - ) and Chairmanship of the Industrial Engineering Department (between 1994-98 and 2003-06). In the 1983-84 period, he was employed at the Syracuse University (New York – U.S.A.) and at the University of Maryland (Maryland – U.S.A.) as a visiting professor. He has received his Associate Professor and Professor titles in 1984 and 1991 respectively.
Major fields of research and teaching interest of İlhan Or are linear optimization, risk analysis and management and operations research applications in energy planning. He has published many articles in international scientific journals and made numerous presentations in international and national scientific meetings, in these areas. He has also conducted continuing education and training seminars and worked as a consultant to industry in his fields of interest.
İlhan Or served as an Associate Editor of Naval Research Logistics Journal in the 1993-2004 period. He is a founding member of the Energy Economics Association of Turkey and of the Solid Waste Turkish National Committee; he is a member of the Global Relations Forum, the Turkish Statistics Society and the Operations Research Society of Turkey.